| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2011 | 97–90 | Spurs +7 | Hawks +0.0 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 82–99 | Celtics +17 | Celtics +5.7 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 105–107 | Nets +2 | Nets +6.1 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 89–99 | Cavaliers +10 | Hornets +1.5 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 94–97 | Bulls +3 | Bulls +11.3 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 101–94 | Thunder +7 | Nuggets +4.4 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 105–107 | Wizards +2 | Wizards +1.3 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 108–87 | Warriors +21 | Trail Blazers +9.7 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 104–101 | Kings +3 | Rockets +10.1 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 82–81 | Clippers +1 | Grizzlies +10.5 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 86–85 | Jazz +1 | Lakers +14.9 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 72–78 | Magic +6 | Magic +9.3 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 118–131 | Knicks +13 | Knicks +9.7 | Regular Season |