| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2011 | 98–90 | Heat +8 | Heat +3.8 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 11, 2011 | 94–95 | Wizards +1 | Celtics +5.8 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 11, 2011 | 105–103 | Hornets +2 | Nets +1.3 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 11, 2011 | 110–101 | Cavaliers +9 | Pistons +7.6 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 11, 2011 | 98–91 | Mavericks +7 | Rockets +1.7 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 11, 2011 | 111–134 | Nuggets +23 | Nuggets +9.5 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 11, 2011 | 86–93 | Bucks +7 | Bucks +9.8 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 11, 2011 | 127–135 | Suns +8 | Suns +11.1 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 11, 2011 | 90–78 | Jazz +12 | Pelicans +9.8 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 11, 2011 | 120–112 | Thunder +8 | Thunder +5.8 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 11, 2011 | 95–85 | Magic +10 | 76ers +1.3 | Regular Season |