| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2025 | 125–116 | Timberwolves +9 | Timberwolves +8.1 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 123–110 | Jazz +13 | Nets +2.5 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 123–120 | Lakers +3 | Raptors +2.3 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 146–101 | Celtics +45 | Celtics +8.7 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 98–99 | 76ers +1 | Warriors +1.1 | Regular Season |