| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2025 | 111–132 | Thunder +21 | Thunder +15.9 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 120–105 | Pacers +15 | Bulls +4.3 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 98–117 | Rockets +19 | Rockets +7.2 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 98–107 | Grizzlies +9 | Grizzlies +4.3 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 116–101 | 76ers +15 | Bucks +6.1 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 134–133 | Nuggets +1 | Nuggets +1.8 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 111–86 | Hornets +25 | Raptors +11.4 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 117–130 | Cavaliers +13 | Cavaliers +4.2 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 116–122 | Pistons +6 | Pistons +7.5 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 112–146 | Knicks +34 | Knicks +11.1 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 105–126 | Celtics +21 | Celtics +4.3 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 105–106 | Magic +1 | Magic +4.2 | Regular Season |