| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 | 100–98 | Mavericks +2 | Kings +1.2 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 111–103 | Lakers +8 | Lakers +4.2 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 105–106 | Grizzlies +1 | Spurs +0.8 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 94–122 | Timberwolves +28 | Timberwolves +6.8 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 120–116 | Cavaliers +4 | Cavaliers +3.9 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 112–120 | Wizards +8 | Magic +3.2 | Regular Season |