| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2026 | 102–103 | Clippers +1 | Clippers +2.8 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 117–137 | Trail Blazers +20 | Trail Blazers +7.0 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 125–124 | Nuggets +1 | Nuggets +0.9 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 124–97 | Hornets +27 | Thunder +15.3 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 97–100 | Rockets +3 | Rockets +6.0 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 100–118 | Raptors +18 | Raptors +5.3 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 101–115 | Celtics +14 | Celtics +11.7 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 90–121 | Pistons +31 | Pistons +6.0 | Regular Season |