| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2026 | 114–120 | Lakers +6 | Lakers +5.7 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 115–98 | Bucks +17 | Kings +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 105–108 | Suns +3 | Thunder +3.1 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 106–125 | Heat +19 | Heat +11.0 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 141–115 | Timberwolves +26 | Timberwolves +5.8 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 115–127 | Nets +12 | Nuggets +5.8 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 127–135 | Magic +8 | Magic +10.2 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 114–110 | Pistons +4 | Cavaliers +1.2 | Regular Season |