| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 146–115 | Celtics +31 | Clippers +0.5 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 114–123 | Warriors +9 | Warriors +9.2 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 104–110 | Mavericks +6 | Rockets +5.8 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 112–99 | Hornets +13 | Bulls +6.0 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 115–110 | Trail Blazers +5 | Spurs +9.1 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 117–134 | Raptors +17 | Raptors +4.2 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 130–119 | 76ers +11 | Knicks +8.4 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 125–115 | Timberwolves +10 | Heat +2.4 | Regular Season |