| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 130–142 | Lakers +12 | Lakers +10.8 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 102–104 | Thunder +2 | Thunder +6.0 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 136–131 | Nuggets +5 | Spurs +9.8 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 120–112 | Mavericks +8 | Grizzlies +4.5 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 97–108 | Hawks +11 | Hawks +11.6 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 105–112 | Heat +7 | Heat +10.4 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 109–131 | Pistons +22 | Pistons +9.4 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 123–108 | Suns +15 | Suns +5.8 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 131–136 | Magic +5 | Magic +13.7 | Regular Season |