@ Buccaneers
1-4
@ Patriots
2-3
Playoffs
0-0
VS EXPECTED
Buccaneers -0.9
Avg Points
13.5-22.4
Most Recent Winner
Patriots 23-28
Head-To-Head Margin (Max Last 150 Matches)
| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2025 | 28–23 | New England Patriots +5 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers +7.7 | Regular | |
| Oct 3, 2021 | 19–17 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers +2 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers +2.2 | Regular | |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 19–14 | New England Patriots +5 | New England Patriots +4.6 | Regular | |
| Sep 22, 2013 | 3–23 | New England Patriots +20 | New England Patriots +12.6 | Regular | |
| Oct 25, 2009 | 35–7 | New England Patriots +28 | New England Patriots +9.2 | Regular | |
| Dec 17, 2005 | 0–28 | New England Patriots +28 | New England Patriots +8.1 | Regular | |
| Sep 3, 2000 | 21–16 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers +5 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers +0.3 | Regular | |
| Nov 16, 1997 | 7–27 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers +20 | New England Patriots +0.3 | Regular | |
| Dec 11, 1988 | 7–10 | New England Patriots +3 | New England Patriots +13.1 | Regular | |
| Oct 27, 1985 | 32–14 | New England Patriots +18 | New England Patriots +4.1 | Regular | |
| Dec 12, 1976 | 31–14 | New England Patriots +17 | New England Patriots +7.0 | Regular |