Lions @ Panthers

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Lions 26 - Panthers 32
Sunday, October 4, 2026 at 8:20 PM ET
Detroit
Lions
2-1 Rating 1585
Form: LWWLW
26 – 32
Model Probability
65%
35%
Projected margin: Detroit Lions +4.5
Carolina
Panthers
1-2 Rating 1393
Form: LLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Lions Panthers
All-time wins 4 8
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average points 21.0 24.8
Last meeting 42 24

Key Season Stats

Stat Lions Panthers
Games played 3 3
Avg points scored 31.0 29.7
Avg points conceded 31.7 27.7
Win percentage 67% 33%
Away win % / Home win % 0% 0%