Falcons @ Saints

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Falcons 45 - Saints 24
Monday, October 5, 2026 at 8:15 PM ET
Atlanta
Falcons
1-2 Rating 1435
Form: WWLLW
45 – 24
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: New Orleans Saints +2.5
New Orleans
Saints
1-2 Rating 1406
Form: WLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Falcons Saints
All-time wins 57 55
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average points 21.8 21.4
Last meeting 19 17

Key Season Stats

Stat Falcons Saints
Games played 3 3
Avg points scored 17.0 27.0
Avg points conceded 22.7 27.7
Win percentage 33% 33%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 0%