Canadiens @ Capitals

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Canadiens 4 - Capitals 5
Wednesday, October 14, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET
Montreal
Canadiens
3-3 Rating 1529
Form: LLLWW
4 – 5
Model Probability
49%
51%
Projected margin: Washington Capitals +0.4
Washington
Capitals
3-3 Rating 1520
Form: LWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Canadiens Capitals
All-time wins 90 91
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average goals 3.1 2.8
Last meeting 6 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Canadiens Capitals
Games played 6 6
Avg goals scored 3.2 3.2
Avg goals conceded 3.7 3.0
Win percentage 50% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 67%