Penguins @ Golden Knights

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Penguins 2 - Golden Knights 6
Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET
Pittsburgh
Penguins
3-5 Rating 1483
Form: LLWLL
2 – 6
Model Probability
39%
61%
Projected margin: Vegas Golden Knights +0.9
Vegas
Golden Knights
7-2 Rating 1539
Form: WWLWW
Golden Knights

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Penguins Golden Knights
All-time wins 9 7
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average goals 3.0 3.1
Last meeting 2 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Penguins Golden Knights
Games played 8 9
Avg goals scored 3.4 4.0
Avg goals conceded 3.4 2.4
Win percentage 38% 78%
Away win % / Home win % 20% 80%