Lightning @ Canadiens

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Lightning 0 - Canadiens 0
Wednesday, December 2, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET
Tampa Bay
Lightning
11-5 Rating 1554
Form: WLWWW
@
Model Probability
49%
51%
Projected margin: Montreal Canadiens +0.4
Montreal
Canadiens
11-6 Rating 1544
Form: WWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Lightning Canadiens
All-time wins 78 65
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average goals 2.8 2.6
Last meeting 1 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Lightning Canadiens
Games played 16 17
Avg goals scored 3.8 3.6
Avg goals conceded 3.1 3.1
Win percentage 69% 65%
Away win % / Home win % 38% 56%