Jets @ Lightning

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Jets 4 - Lightning 6
Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET
Winnipeg
Jets
4-8 Rating 1479
Form: LLLLL
4 – 6
Model Probability
37%
63%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +1.0
Tampa Bay
Lightning
7-4 Rating 1546
Form: WWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Jets Lightning
All-time wins 52 54
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average goals 3.0 3.3
Last meeting 4 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Jets Lightning
Games played 12 11
Avg goals scored 2.3 3.5
Avg goals conceded 3.0 3.1
Win percentage 33% 64%
Away win % / Home win % 40% 100%