Maple Leafs @ Stars

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Maple Leafs 0 - Stars 0
Wednesday, December 9, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET
Toronto
Maple Leafs
8-10 Rating 1471
Form: LLWLL
@
Model Probability
36%
64%
Projected margin: Dallas Stars +1.2
Dallas
Stars
10-7 Rating 1546
Form: LWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Maple Leafs Stars
All-time wins 143 117
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average goals 3.5 3.3
Last meeting 5 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Maple Leafs Stars
Games played 18 17
Avg goals scored 3.6 2.9
Avg goals conceded 3.3 2.4
Win percentage 44% 59%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 60%