Stars @ Capitals

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Stars 6 - Capitals 5
Tuesday, November 3, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET
Dallas
Stars
8-6 Rating 1543
Form: WWLLW
6 – 5
Model Probability
50%
50%
Projected margin: Washington Capitals +0.3
Washington
Capitals
8-5 Rating 1529
Form: LWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Stars Capitals
All-time wins 73 41
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average goals 3.5 2.8
Last meeting 4 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Stars Capitals
Games played 14 13
Avg goals scored 2.7 3.4
Avg goals conceded 2.2 3.2
Win percentage 57% 62%
Away win % / Home win % 60% 67%