Stars @ Senators

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Stars 0 - Senators 0
Tuesday, December 29, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET
Dallas
Stars
10-7 Rating 1546
Form: LWWLW
@
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: Ottawa Senators +0.2
Ottawa
Senators
11-7 Rating 1523
Form: LWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Stars Senators
All-time wins 28 22
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average goals 3.2 2.8
Last meeting 6 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Stars Senators
Games played 17 18
Avg goals scored 2.9 3.2
Avg goals conceded 2.4 3.0
Win percentage 59% 61%
Away win % / Home win % 57% 75%