Canadiens @ Lightning

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Canadiens 0 - Lightning 0
Thursday, December 31, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET
Montreal
Canadiens
11-6 Rating 1544
Form: WWLWW
@
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +0.5
Tampa Bay
Lightning
11-5 Rating 1554
Form: WLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Canadiens Lightning
All-time wins 65 78
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average goals 2.6 2.8
Last meeting 2 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Canadiens Lightning
Games played 17 16
Avg goals scored 3.6 3.8
Avg goals conceded 3.1 3.1
Win percentage 65% 69%
Away win % / Home win % 75% 100%