Lightning @ Flames

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Lightning 0 - Flames 0
Saturday, January 9, 2027 at 3:30 PM ET
Tampa Bay
Lightning
11-5 Rating 1554
Form: WLWWW
@
Model Probability
60%
40%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +0.3
Calgary
Flames
7-10 Rating 1468
Form: WLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Lightning Flames
All-time wins 31 24
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average goals 3.1 3.0
Last meeting 3 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Lightning Flames
Games played 16 17
Avg goals scored 3.8 2.5
Avg goals conceded 3.1 3.5
Win percentage 69% 41%
Away win % / Home win % 38% 56%