Maple Leafs @ Lightning

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Maple Leafs 0 - Lightning 0
Tuesday, March 30, 2027 at 7:00 PM ET
Toronto
Maple Leafs
8-11 Rating 1467
Form: LWLLL
@
Model Probability
35%
65%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +1.3
Tampa Bay
Lightning
11-6 Rating 1549
Form: LWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Maple Leafs Lightning
All-time wins 74 55
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average goals 3.2 2.9
Last meeting 2 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Maple Leafs Lightning
Games played 19 17
Avg goals scored 3.4 3.7
Avg goals conceded 3.4 3.1
Win percentage 42% 65%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 100%