Championship
Wed, Nov 25, 2026 · 7:45 PM GMT
Burnley vs Birmingham Prediction & Win Probability
Burnley has a 47% chance to win.
Model Probability
Draw 27%
Model Prediction Through Season
Birmingham
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 2.4% | 28.1% | 5.9% |
| If Win | 1.2% | 4.6% | 35.7% | 2.9% |
| If Draw | <1% | 2.9% | 31.1% | 5.6% |
| If Lose | <1% | 1.5% | 24.7% | 8.2% |
Burnley
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 1.4% | 18.3% | 14.1% |
| If Win | <1% | 1.6% | 22.4% | 11.0% |
| If Draw | <1% | <1% | 15.2% | 14.6% |
| If Lose | <1% | <1% | 11.2% | 20.2% |
| Burnley | Stat | Birmingham |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Games played | 8 |
| 1.1 | Avg goals scored | 1.5 |
| 2.1 | Avg goals conceded | 1.4 |
| 0% / 50% / 50% | Win / Draw / Loss | 25% / 62% / 12% |
| 0% | Home win % / Away win % | 50% |
| Burnley | Stat | Birmingham |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | All-time wins (11 meetings, 4 draws) | 4 |
| 2 | Last 5 meetings (3 draws) | 0 |
| 1.8 | Average goals | 1.6 |