Championship
Sat, Nov 21, 2026 · 3:00 PM GMT
Stoke vs Birmingham Prediction & Win Probability
Stoke has a 39% chance to win.
Model Prediction Through Season
Birmingham
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 2.8% | 28.3% | 6.0% |
| If Win | 1.4% | 3.9% | 37.1% | 3.7% |
| If Draw | <1% | 2.5% | 29.8% | 5.8% |
| If Lose | <1% | 1.5% | 23.9% | 8.5% |
Stoke
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 1.5% | 20.7% | 11.4% |
| If Win | <1% | 1.8% | 25.7% | 7.3% |
| If Draw | <1% | <1% | 18.0% | 12.3% |
| If Lose | <1% | <1% | 13.8% | 15.6% |
| Stoke | Stat | Birmingham |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Games played | 8 |
| 1.6 | Avg goals scored | 1.5 |
| 1.5 | Avg goals conceded | 1.4 |
| 50% / 12% / 38% | Win / Draw / Loss | 25% / 62% / 12% |
| 75% | Home win % / Away win % | 50% |
| Stoke | Stat | Birmingham |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | All-time wins (16 meetings, 5 draws) | 7 |
| 2 | Last 5 meetings (2 draws) | 1 |
| 1.0 | Average goals | 1.2 |