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Championship
Wed, Nov 25, 2026 · 8:00 PM GMT

Stoke vs Millwall Prediction & Win Probability

Stoke has a 37% chance to win.

4-1-3 · Rating 1612
Form: WWDWW
VS
3-2-3 · Rating 1662
Form: DDLWL
Model Probability
37%
35%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Millwall

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 1.1%4.3%33.7%4.4%
If Win 1.5%5.7%41.2%2.6%
If Draw <1%2.9%33.2%5.2%
If Lose <1%2.7%28.5%6.8%

Stoke

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%1.3%19.1%12.3%
If Win <1%1.9%24.5%7.9%
If Draw <1%1.4%17.8%11.4%
If Lose <1%<1%14.1%15.6%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

StokeStatMillwall
8Games played8
1.6Avg goals scored1.9
1.5Avg goals conceded1.9
50% / 12% / 38%Win / Draw / Loss38% / 25% / 38%
75% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
StokeStatMillwall
2All-time wins (16 meetings, 5 draws)9
0Last 5 meetings (2 draws)3
0.4Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2026-04-21): Stoke 1–3 Millwall