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Sat, Nov 28, 2026 · 3:00 PM GMT

West Ham vs Stoke Prediction & Win Probability

West Ham has a 72% chance to win.

4-3-1 · Rating 1814
Form: DWWWW
VS
4-1-3 · Rating 1612
Form: WWDWW
Model Probability
72%
11%
Draw 17%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Stoke

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%19.2%11.9%
If Win 1.1%3.0%29.2%5.4%
If Draw <1%1.3%21.1%9.6%
If Lose <1%<1%17.0%11.9%

West Ham

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 52.8%74.8%22.9%<1%
If Win 55.7%76.4%22.2%<1%
If Draw 45.3%67.8%29.0%<1%
If Lose 39.3%62.3%32.7%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

West HamStatStoke
8Games played8
2.8Avg goals scored1.6
1.4Avg goals conceded1.5
50% / 38% / 12%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 12% / 38%
75% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
West HamStatStoke
3All-time wins (15 meetings, 8 draws)4
1Last 5 meetings (3 draws)1
1.1Average goals0.9
Last meeting (2018-04-16): West Ham 1–1 Stoke