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Stoke vs QPR Prediction & Win Probability

Stoke has a 41% chance to win.
Championship
Sat, Dec 5, 2026 · 3:00 PM GMT
Championship
Stoke
9-2-4Rating 1641
Form: WWWDW
vs
Model Probability
41%
Draw 28%
31%
Championship
QPR
6-6-3Rating 1665
Form: WDLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

QPR

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 1.4%4.0%36.3%1.0%
If Win 2.3%6.3%45.5%<1%
If Draw 1.2%3.5%36.3%1.1%
If Lose <1%1.8%28.2%1.8%

Stoke

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 1.8%5.1%42.7%<1%
If Win 3.2%8.3%49.2%<1%
If Draw 1.7%5.5%41.2%<1%
If Lose 1.1%3.5%33.3%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

StokeStatQPR
15Games played15
1.6Avg goals scored1.6
1.2Avg goals conceded1.2
60% / 13% / 27%Win / Draw / Loss40% / 40% / 20%
57% Home win % / Away win % 29%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
StokeStatQPR
7All-time wins (22 meetings, 7 draws)8
2Last 5 meetings (2 draws)1
1.1Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2026-01-17): Stoke 0–0 QPR