← Home / England / Championship / Matches / Birmingham vs Bolton

Birmingham vs Bolton Prediction & Win Probability

Birmingham has a 59% chance to win.
Championship
Sat, Nov 28, 2026 · 3:00 PM GMT
Championship
Birmingham
8-5-2Rating 1696
Form: WWWLW
vs
Model Probability
59%
Draw 23%
18%
Championship
Bolton
5-2-8Rating 1591
Form: LWLLD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Bolton

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%3.3%22.2%
If Win <1%<1%6.3%13.7%
If Draw <1%<1%3.4%19.7%
If Lose <1%<1%2.1%25.8%

Birmingham

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 9.6%19.8%56.0%<1%
If Win 11.3%23.2%59.2%<1%
If Draw 6.4%15.4%57.4%<1%
If Lose 4.6%11.6%52.2%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

BirminghamStatBolton
15Games played15
1.9Avg goals scored1.3
0.9Avg goals conceded1.9
53% / 33% / 13%Win / Draw / Loss33% / 13% / 53%
50% Home win % / Away win % 38%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
BirminghamStatBolton
7All-time wins (17 meetings, 3 draws)7
2Last 5 meetings (0 draws)3
1.1Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2025-03-04): Bolton 3–1 Birmingham