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Sat, Dec 19, 2026 · 3:00 PM GMT

Burnley vs Stoke Prediction & Win Probability

Burnley has a 53% chance to win.

0-4-4 · Rating 1670
Form: DLDLD
VS
4-1-3 · Rating 1612
Form: WWDWW
Model Probability
53%
22%
Draw 25%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Stoke

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%1.2%18.5%11.0%
If Win <1%2.7%25.7%6.9%
If Draw <1%<1%19.5%10.3%
If Lose <1%<1%15.1%14.5%

Burnley

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%1.1%19.1%14.2%
If Win <1%1.4%21.8%10.0%
If Draw <1%<1%14.7%15.2%
If Lose <1%<1%11.7%20.7%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

BurnleyStatStoke
8Games played8
1.1Avg goals scored1.6
2.1Avg goals conceded1.5
0% / 50% / 50%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 12% / 38%
0% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
BurnleyStatStoke
5All-time wins (11 meetings, 5 draws)1
2Last 5 meetings (3 draws)0
0.9Average goals0.5
Last meeting (2025-01-01): Burnley 0–0 Stoke