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Stoke vs Wrexham Prediction & Win Probability

Stoke has a 42% chance to win.
Championship
Sat, Dec 26, 2026 · 3:00 PM GMT
Championship
Stoke
9-2-4Rating 1641
Form: WWWDW
vs
Model Probability
42%
Draw 28%
30%
Championship
Wrexham
4-6-5Rating 1655
Form: DWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Wrexham

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%15.7%5.2%
If Win <1%1.2%22.3%2.2%
If Draw <1%<1%15.1%4.1%
If Lose <1%<1%10.0%7.1%

Stoke

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 2.2%5.5%40.8%<1%
If Win 2.8%7.1%48.9%<1%
If Draw 2.0%4.4%41.4%<1%
If Lose 1.4%3.6%33.5%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

StokeStatWrexham
15Games played15
1.6Avg goals scored1.2
1.2Avg goals conceded1.3
60% / 13% / 27%Win / Draw / Loss27% / 40% / 33%
57% Home win % / Away win % 14%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
StokeStatWrexham
1All-time wins (2 meetings, 0 draws)1
1Last 2 meetings (0 draws)1
0.5Average goals1.0
Last meeting (2026-04-18): Wrexham 2–0 Stoke