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Bristol City vs Stoke Prediction & Win Probability

Bristol City has a 40% chance to win.
Championship
Tue, Dec 29, 2026 · 7:45 PM GMT
Championship
Bristol City
5-3-7Rating 1613
Form: LLWDL
vs
Model Probability
40%
Draw 28%
32%
Championship
Stoke
9-2-4Rating 1641
Form: WWWDW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Stoke

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 2.1%5.4%42.8%<1%
If Win 2.8%8.3%49.0%<1%
If Draw 1.5%4.5%42.5%<1%
If Lose 1.2%3.5%36.2%<1%

Bristol City

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%5.5%15.8%
If Win <1%<1%7.6%9.1%
If Draw <1%<1%4.1%15.6%
If Lose <1%<1%3.0%20.3%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Bristol CityStatStoke
15Games played15
1.1Avg goals scored1.6
1.6Avg goals conceded1.2
33% / 20% / 47%Win / Draw / Loss60% / 13% / 27%
25% Home win % / Away win % 62%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Bristol CityStatStoke
8All-time wins (17 meetings, 3 draws)6
2Last 5 meetings (2 draws)1
1.2Average goals1.3
Last meeting (2026-10-24): Stoke 0–0 Bristol City