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Championship
Tue, Dec 29, 2026 · 7:45 PM GMT

Bristol City vs Stoke Prediction & Win Probability

Bristol City has a 48% chance to win.

4-1-3 · Rating 1641
Form: WLLWW
VS
4-1-3 · Rating 1612
Form: WWDWW
Model Probability
48%
25%
Draw 26%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Stoke

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%1.3%19.4%10.4%
If Win <1%1.9%25.9%6.4%
If Draw <1%1.1%19.4%10.4%
If Lose <1%<1%14.4%13.4%

Bristol City

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%2.7%27.0%7.3%
If Win 1.3%4.3%31.2%3.7%
If Draw <1%2.2%25.7%6.8%
If Lose <1%1.3%22.1%9.5%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Bristol CityStatStoke
8Games played8
1.4Avg goals scored1.6
1.5Avg goals conceded1.5
50% / 12% / 38%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 12% / 38%
50% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Bristol CityStatStoke
8All-time wins (16 meetings, 2 draws)6
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.3Average goals1.4
Last meeting (2026-05-02): Bristol City 2–0 Stoke