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Championship
Sat, Dec 19, 2026 · 3:00 PM GMT

Derby vs Lincoln Prediction & Win Probability

Derby has a 42% chance to win.

1-2-5 · Rating 1620
Form: DLLLW
VS
3-2-3 · Rating 1637
Form: LWWDD
Model Probability
42%
31%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Lincoln

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%1.9%21.1%9.4%
If Win <1%2.7%29.0%5.5%
If Draw <1%1.5%22.1%8.9%
If Lose <1%1.2%16.2%11.9%

Derby

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%7.3%31.4%
If Win <1%<1%9.3%24.0%
If Draw <1%<1%5.8%33.5%
If Lose <1%<1%4.0%38.1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

DerbyStatLincoln
8Games played8
0.9Avg goals scored0.9
1.8Avg goals conceded1.0
12% / 25% / 62%Win / Draw / Loss38% / 25% / 38%
0% Home win % / Away win % 75%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
DerbyStatLincoln
1All-time wins (4 meetings, 2 draws)1
1Last 4 meetings (2 draws)1
1.0Average goals1.0
Last meeting (2024-01-20): Lincoln 0–0 Derby