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Derby vs Sheffield Utd Prediction & Win Probability

Derby has a 36% chance to win.
Championship
Tue, Dec 29, 2026 · 7:45 PM GMT
Championship
Derby
2-4-9Rating 1591
Form: WLLDL
vs
Model Probability
36%
Draw 28%
36%
Championship
Sheffield Utd
6-4-5Rating 1652
Form: LWWDW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Sheffield Utd

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%1.3%22.9%2.0%
If Win <1%2.3%29.1%<1%
If Draw <1%1.4%20.2%2.6%
If Lose <1%<1%18.2%3.6%

Derby

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%<1%56.8%
If Win <1%<1%<1%44.9%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%56.6%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%62.5%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

DerbyStatSheffield Utd
15Games played15
0.9Avg goals scored1.4
2.0Avg goals conceded1.3
13% / 27% / 60%Win / Draw / Loss40% / 27% / 33%
12% Home win % / Away win % 38%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
DerbyStatSheffield Utd
4All-time wins (14 meetings, 3 draws)7
1Last 5 meetings (1 draws)3
1.0Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-10-24): Sheffield Utd 1–1 Derby