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Tue, Dec 29, 2026 · 7:45 PM GMT

Derby vs Sheffield Utd Prediction & Win Probability

Derby has a 42% chance to win.

1-2-5 · Rating 1620
Form: DLLLW
VS
2-3-3 · Rating 1638
Form: LLWLW
Model Probability
42%
31%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Sheffield Utd

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%17.1%13.2%
If Win <1%1.7%24.3%7.5%
If Draw <1%<1%16.5%13.3%
If Lose <1%<1%13.9%17.2%

Derby

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%6.7%31.5%
If Win <1%<1%10.1%25.6%
If Draw <1%<1%6.3%31.9%
If Lose <1%<1%4.3%40.0%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

DerbyStatSheffield Utd
8Games played8
0.9Avg goals scored1.1
1.8Avg goals conceded1.4
12% / 25% / 62%Win / Draw / Loss25% / 38% / 38%
0% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
DerbyStatSheffield Utd
4All-time wins (13 meetings, 2 draws)7
2Last 5 meetings (0 draws)3
1.0Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-05-02): Derby 1–2 Sheffield Utd