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Tue, Dec 29, 2026 · 8:15 PM GMT

Southampton vs West Ham Prediction & Win Probability

West Ham has a 38% chance to win.

4-2-2 · Rating 1738
Form: LWWDD
VS
4-3-1 · Rating 1814
Form: DWWWW
Model Probability
34%
38%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

West Ham

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 52.4%72.9%24.8%<1%
If Win 60.0%80.7%18.0%<1%
If Draw 50.6%72.9%24.9%<1%
If Lose 43.7%67.5%28.9%<1%

Southampton

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 12.2%29.0%53.2%<1%
If Win 16.6%35.1%52.7%<1%
If Draw 10.4%27.0%55.6%<1%
If Lose 6.7%20.9%56.8%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

SouthamptonStatWest Ham
8Games played8
2.4Avg goals scored2.8
1.2Avg goals conceded1.4
50% / 25% / 25%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 38% / 12%
100% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
SouthamptonStatWest Ham
6All-time wins (26 meetings, 8 draws)12
1Last 5 meetings (2 draws)2
0.9Average goals1.5
Last meeting (2025-04-19): West Ham 1–1 Southampton