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Derby vs Millwall Prediction & Win Probability

Derby has a 37% chance to win.
Championship
Sat, Jan 23, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT
Championship
Derby
2-4-9Rating 1591
Form: WLLDL
vs
Model Probability
37%
Draw 28%
35%
Championship
Millwall
5-3-7Rating 1642
Form: LLWLD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Millwall

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%12.1%7.2%
If Win <1%<1%16.6%4.0%
If Draw <1%<1%11.2%7.2%
If Lose <1%<1%7.7%9.6%

Derby

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%<1%54.4%
If Win <1%<1%<1%45.5%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%57.0%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%61.6%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

DerbyStatMillwall
15Games played15
0.9Avg goals scored1.5
2.0Avg goals conceded1.8
13% / 27% / 60%Win / Draw / Loss33% / 20% / 47%
12% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
DerbyStatMillwall
6All-time wins (25 meetings, 8 draws)11
0Last 5 meetings (2 draws)3
1.0Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2026-10-31): Millwall 4–1 Derby