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Sat, Jan 23, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT

Derby vs Millwall Prediction & Win Probability

Derby has a 38% chance to win.

1-2-5 · Rating 1620
Form: DLLLW
VS
3-2-3 · Rating 1662
Form: DDLWL
Model Probability
38%
34%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Millwall

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%4.0%34.0%5.4%
If Win 1.7%5.6%40.1%2.3%
If Draw <1%3.4%32.0%4.8%
If Lose <1%2.4%28.7%6.5%

Derby

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%6.9%31.6%
If Win <1%<1%9.3%23.8%
If Draw <1%<1%6.8%33.0%
If Lose <1%<1%4.0%36.6%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

DerbyStatMillwall
8Games played8
0.9Avg goals scored1.9
1.8Avg goals conceded1.9
12% / 25% / 62%Win / Draw / Loss38% / 25% / 38%
0% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
DerbyStatMillwall
6All-time wins (24 meetings, 8 draws)10
0Last 5 meetings (2 draws)3
1.0Average goals1.0
Last meeting (2026-03-10): Millwall 1–0 Derby