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Swansea vs Southampton Prediction & Win Probability

Southampton has a 40% chance to win.
Championship
Tue, Apr 6, 2027 · 7:45 PM BST
Championship
Swansea
8-2-5Rating 1663
Form: LLWLL
vs
Model Probability
32%
Draw 28%
40%
Championship
Southampton
8-4-3Rating 1750
Form: LDWWD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Southampton

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 22.5%40.3%49.6%<1%
If Win 28.4%46.1%47.2%<1%
If Draw 20.6%38.2%51.6%<1%
If Lose 19.0%35.3%52.2%<1%

Swansea

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 2.4%5.9%47.1%<1%
If Win 3.8%8.9%49.8%<1%
If Draw 1.7%6.0%44.0%<1%
If Lose 1.2%3.9%40.6%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

SwanseaStatSouthampton
15Games played15
1.5Avg goals scored1.9
1.2Avg goals conceded1.0
53% / 13% / 33%Win / Draw / Loss53% / 27% / 20%
57% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
SwanseaStatSouthampton
2All-time wins (17 meetings, 4 draws)11
0Last 5 meetings (1 draws)4
0.5Average goals1.5
Last meeting (2026-09-08): Southampton 3–1 Swansea