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Championship
Sat, May 1, 2027 · 12:30 PM BST

Millwall vs Stoke Prediction & Win Probability

Millwall has a 51% chance to win.

3-2-3 · Rating 1662
Form: DDLWL
VS
4-1-3 · Rating 1612
Form: WWDWW
Model Probability
51%
23%
Draw 26%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Stoke

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%1.0%20.2%12.1%
If Win <1%1.7%24.7%7.4%
If Draw <1%<1%19.1%10.4%
If Lose <1%<1%16.8%11.8%

Millwall

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 1.2%3.9%33.8%4.6%
If Win 1.2%4.6%38.7%3.6%
If Draw <1%3.3%32.7%4.6%
If Lose <1%2.4%29.9%6.1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MillwallStatStoke
8Games played8
1.9Avg goals scored1.6
1.9Avg goals conceded1.5
38% / 25% / 38%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 12% / 38%
50% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MillwallStatStoke
9All-time wins (16 meetings, 5 draws)2
3Last 5 meetings (2 draws)0
1.1Average goals0.4
Last meeting (2026-04-21): Stoke 1–3 Millwall