← Home / England / Championship / Matches / Millwall vs Stoke

Millwall vs Stoke Prediction & Win Probability

Millwall has a 44% chance to win.
Championship
Sat, May 1, 2027 · 12:30 PM BST
Championship
Millwall
5-3-7Rating 1642
Form: LLWLD
vs
Model Probability
44%
Draw 27%
28%
Championship
Stoke
9-2-4Rating 1641
Form: WWWDW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Stoke

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 2.5%6.0%42.0%<1%
If Win 3.0%8.0%47.4%<1%
If Draw 1.6%5.2%42.7%<1%
If Lose 1.4%4.3%37.8%<1%

Millwall

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%12.9%6.4%
If Win <1%<1%14.1%4.9%
If Draw <1%<1%10.0%6.3%
If Lose <1%<1%9.7%8.8%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MillwallStatStoke
15Games played15
1.5Avg goals scored1.6
1.8Avg goals conceded1.2
33% / 20% / 47%Win / Draw / Loss60% / 13% / 27%
43% Home win % / Away win % 62%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MillwallStatStoke
9All-time wins (16 meetings, 5 draws)2
3Last 5 meetings (2 draws)0
1.1Average goals0.4
Last meeting (2026-04-21): Stoke 1–3 Millwall