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Chelsea vs Liverpool Prediction & Win Probability

Liverpool has a 40% chance to win.
Final Score: Chelsea 2–1 Liverpool
Sat, Oct 4, 2025 · 5:30 PM BST
League One
Chelsea
2-2-2Rating 1913
Form: LLDWW
2 – 1
Model Probability
32%
Draw 28%
40%
League One
Liverpool
5-0-1Rating 1964
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

ChelseaStatLiverpool
6Games played6
1.8Avg goals scored2.0
1.3Avg goals conceded1.2
33% / 33% / 33%Win / Draw / Loss83% / 0% / 17%
33% Home win % / Away win % 67%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
ChelseaStatLiverpool
7All-time wins (31 meetings, 12 draws)12
1Last 5 meetings (2 draws)2
1.1Average goals1.5
Last meeting (2025-05-04): Chelsea 3–1 Liverpool