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Portsmouth vs Derby Prediction & Win Probability

Portsmouth has a 38% chance to win.
Final Score: Portsmouth 0–1 Derby
Mon, Mar 16, 2026 · 8:00 PM GMT
League One
Portsmouth
10-10-16Rating 1651
Form: LDLLW
0 – 1
Model Probability
38%
Draw 28%
34%
League One
Derby
15-9-13Rating 1591
Form: LWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

PortsmouthStatDerby
36Games played37
1.0Avg goals scored1.5
1.3Avg goals conceded1.3
28% / 28% / 44%Win / Draw / Loss41% / 24% / 35%
33% Home win % / Away win % 44%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
PortsmouthStatDerby
0All-time wins (11 meetings, 7 draws)4
0Last 5 meetings (4 draws)1
0.9Average goals1.7
Last meeting (2025-12-20): Derby 1–1 Portsmouth