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MK Dons vs Burton Prediction & Win Probability

MK Dons has a 45% chance to win.
League One
Sat, Nov 14, 2026 · 3:00 PM GMT
League One
MK Dons
4-6-3Rating 1404
Form: WWWLW
vs
Model Probability
45%
Draw 27%
28%
League One
Burton
4-5-5Rating 1397
Form: LWDDL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Burton

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%6.1%12.8%
If Win <1%1.4%9.4%5.5%
If Draw <1%<1%5.3%10.2%
If Lose <1%<1%4.5%16.9%

MK Dons

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%1.9%10.7%7.0%
If Win <1%2.0%11.9%4.4%
If Draw <1%1.4%8.6%8.4%
If Lose <1%<1%6.3%11.8%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MK DonsStatBurton
13Games played14
1.7Avg goals scored1.3
1.5Avg goals conceded1.5
31% / 46% / 23%Win / Draw / Loss29% / 36% / 36%
43% Home win % / Away win % 29%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MK DonsStatBurton
3All-time wins (8 meetings, 3 draws)2
3Last 5 meetings (2 draws)0
0.8Average goals0.9
Last meeting (2023-05-07): Burton 0–0 MK Dons