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Burton vs Luton Prediction & Win Probability

Luton has a 37% chance to win.
League One
Sat, Nov 21, 2026 · 3:00 PM GMT
League One
Burton
4-5-5Rating 1397
Form: LWDDL
vs
Model Probability
35%
Draw 28%
37%
League One
Luton
7-3-4Rating 1464
Form: DWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Luton

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 5.1%12.8%36.8%<1%
If Win 8.6%18.4%40.7%<1%
If Draw 4.6%11.8%35.5%<1%
If Lose 3.4%8.3%31.2%<1%

Burton

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%5.4%11.9%
If Win <1%<1%9.3%7.1%
If Draw <1%<1%4.4%11.8%
If Lose <1%<1%3.7%15.1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

BurtonStatLuton
14Games played14
1.3Avg goals scored1.9
1.5Avg goals conceded1.5
29% / 36% / 36%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 21% / 29%
29% Home win % / Away win % 43%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
BurtonStatLuton
3All-time wins (6 meetings, 1 draws)2
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
0.8Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-02-21): Luton 1–1 Burton