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League One
Sat, Jan 2, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT

Plymouth vs Luton Prediction & Win Probability

Plymouth has a 48% chance to win.

4-1-2 · Rating 1459
Form: WWWLW
VS
2-2-3 · Rating 1433
Form: LLDWL
Model Probability
48%
26%
Draw 26%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Luton

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 1.0%3.4%13.5%11.8%
If Win 1.9%4.7%20.1%7.4%
If Draw 1.0%2.6%14.0%10.7%
If Lose <1%1.6%11.4%14.5%

Plymouth

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 10.2%20.8%34.8%1.1%
If Win 12.6%24.5%37.3%<1%
If Draw 8.1%18.8%34.1%1.1%
If Lose 7.2%15.9%31.1%2.4%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

PlymouthStatLuton
7Games played7
2.0Avg goals scored1.7
1.4Avg goals conceded2.0
57% / 14% / 29%Win / Draw / Loss29% / 29% / 43%
67% Home win % / Away win % 33%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
PlymouthStatLuton
5All-time wins (12 meetings, 3 draws)4
3Last 5 meetings (2 draws)0
1.1Average goals1.3
Last meeting (2026-01-24): Plymouth 1–0 Luton