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Final Score: Manchester City 1–1 Chelsea
League Two
Sun, Jan 4, 2026 · 5:30 PM GMT

Manchester City vs Chelsea Prediction & Win Probability

Manchester City has a 58% chance to win.

13-2-4 · Rating 2063
Form: DWWWW
VS
8-6-5 · Rating 1899
Form: DLDWD
Model Probability
58%
19%
Draw 23%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Manchester CityStatChelsea
19Games played19
2.3Avg goals scored1.7
0.9Avg goals conceded1.1
68% / 11% / 21%Win / Draw / Loss42% / 32% / 26%
89% Home win % / Away win % 44%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Manchester CityStatChelsea
17All-time wins (31 meetings, 5 draws)9
3Last 5 meetings (2 draws)0
1.6Average goals1.0
Last meeting (2025-01-25): Manchester City 3–1 Chelsea