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Final Score: Chelsea 1–1 Burnley
League Two
Sat, Feb 21, 2026 · 3:00 PM GMT

Chelsea vs Burnley Prediction & Win Probability

Chelsea has a 75% chance to win.

12-8-6 · Rating 1899
Form: DWWWW
VS
4-6-16 · Rating 1670
Form: WLLDD
Model Probability
75%
10%
Draw 16%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

ChelseaStatBurnley
26Games played26
1.8Avg goals scored1.1
1.2Avg goals conceded2.0
46% / 31% / 23%Win / Draw / Loss15% / 23% / 62%
46% Home win % / Away win % 15%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
ChelseaStatBurnley
12All-time wins (18 meetings, 5 draws)1
3Last 5 meetings (2 draws)0
2.5Average goals0.9
Last meeting (2025-11-22): Burnley 0–2 Chelsea