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Final Score: Manchester Utd 3–1 Aston Villa
League Two
Sun, Mar 15, 2026 · 2:00 PM GMT

Manchester Utd vs Aston Villa Prediction & Win Probability

Manchester Utd has a 43% chance to win.

14-9-6 · Rating 1941
Form: LWWDW
VS
15-6-8 · Rating 1944
Form: LLDWD
Model Probability
43%
30%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Manchester UtdStatAston Villa
29Games played29
1.8Avg goals scored1.3
1.4Avg goals conceded1.2
48% / 31% / 21%Win / Draw / Loss52% / 21% / 28%
64% Home win % / Away win % 43%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Manchester UtdStatAston Villa
17All-time wins (26 meetings, 6 draws)3
3Last 5 meetings (1 draws)1
2.0Average goals0.9
Last meeting (2025-12-21): Aston Villa 2–1 Manchester Utd