← Home / England / League Two / Matches / Swindon vs Accrington
League Two
Sat, Sep 26, 2026 · 3:00 PM BST

Swindon vs Accrington Prediction & Win Probability

Swindon has a 47% chance to win.

3-1-3 · Rating 1186
Form: LLWWL
VS
1-3-3 · Rating 1168
Form: DLWDL
Model Probability
47%
26%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Accrington

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%4.6%19.8%
If Win 1.0%1.0%8.4%12.0%
If Draw <1%<1%4.4%18.5%
If Lose <1%<1%3.3%23.2%

Swindon

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 2.1%2.1%12.8%6.2%
If Win 3.9%3.9%18.4%4.2%
If Draw 1.8%1.8%11.0%7.2%
If Lose 1.5%1.5%9.0%10.2%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

SwindonStatAccrington
7Games played7
1.1Avg goals scored1.4
1.6Avg goals conceded1.9
43% / 14% / 43%Win / Draw / Loss14% / 43% / 43%
100% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
SwindonStatAccrington
4All-time wins (12 meetings, 3 draws)5
0Last 5 meetings (3 draws)2
1.5Average goals1.7
Last meeting (2026-04-18): Swindon 2–2 Accrington