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League Two
Sat, Oct 3, 2026 · 3:00 PM BST

Rochdale vs Swindon Prediction & Win Probability

Rochdale has a 39% chance to win.

2-1-4 · Rating 1150
Form: WDLWL
VS
3-1-3 · Rating 1186
Form: LLWWL
Model Probability
39%
33%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Swindon

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 2.6%2.6%12.2%7.1%
If Win 3.8%3.8%18.3%3.0%
If Draw 2.0%2.0%12.7%6.3%
If Lose 1.5%1.5%9.6%9.6%

Rochdale

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%3.2%24.8%
If Win <1%<1%4.7%17.6%
If Draw <1%<1%2.8%26.7%
If Lose <1%<1%1.6%33.4%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

RochdaleStatSwindon
7Games played7
1.0Avg goals scored1.1
1.4Avg goals conceded1.6
29% / 14% / 57%Win / Draw / Loss43% / 14% / 43%
50% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
RochdaleStatSwindon
3All-time wins (14 meetings, 6 draws)5
1Last 5 meetings (3 draws)1
1.8Average goals2.1
Last meeting (2023-03-18): Rochdale 4–4 Swindon