League Two
Sat, Oct 3, 2026 · 3:00 PM BST
Gillingham vs Newport Prediction & Win Probability
Gillingham has a 45% chance to win.
Model Probability
Draw 27%
Model Prediction Through Season
Newport
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 1.0% | 1.0% | 8.4% | 11.8% |
| If Win | 1.8% | 1.8% | 11.7% | 6.8% |
| If Draw | <1% | <1% | 8.6% | 11.0% |
| If Lose | <1% | <1% | 5.7% | 15.2% |
Gillingham
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 5.0% | 5.0% | 20.6% | 3.7% |
| If Win | 6.5% | 6.5% | 24.7% | 1.8% |
| If Draw | 4.1% | 4.1% | 18.8% | 4.3% |
| If Lose | 2.4% | 2.4% | 14.9% | 5.9% |
| Gillingham | Stat | Newport |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Games played | 7 |
| 1.6 | Avg goals scored | 1.4 |
| 0.9 | Avg goals conceded | 1.6 |
| 43% / 43% / 14% | Win / Draw / Loss | 14% / 43% / 43% |
| 50% | Home win % / Away win % | 0% |
| Gillingham | Stat | Newport |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | All-time wins (8 meetings, 0 draws) | 6 |
| 2 | Last 5 meetings (0 draws) | 3 |
| 1.0 | Average goals | 1.9 |