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League Two
Sat, Sep 26, 2026 · 3:00 PM BST

York City vs Gillingham Prediction & Win Probability

York City has a 41% chance to win.

3-2-2 · Rating 1167
Form: LWDLW
VS
3-3-1 · Rating 1193
Form: WWWDD
Model Probability
41%
32%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Gillingham

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 3.8%3.8%21.3%3.9%
If Win 5.9%5.9%26.8%1.6%
If Draw 4.1%4.1%19.7%3.1%
If Lose 2.7%2.7%16.2%4.9%

York City

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 1.2%1.2%9.8%9.3%
If Win 2.9%2.9%14.1%5.3%
If Draw 1.0%1.0%9.6%9.1%
If Lose <1%<1%6.4%12.6%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

York CityStatGillingham
7Games played7
1.9Avg goals scored1.6
1.4Avg goals conceded0.9
43% / 29% / 29%Win / Draw / Loss43% / 43% / 14%
100% Home win % / Away win % 33%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
York CityStatGillingham
0All-time wins (2 meetings, 2 draws)0
0Last 2 meetings (2 draws)0
0.5Average goals0.5
Last meeting (2013-02-12): York City 0–0 Gillingham