League Two
Sat, Oct 10, 2026 · 3:00 PM BST
York City vs Northampton Prediction & Win Probability
York City has a 41% chance to win.
Model Probability
Draw 28%
Model Prediction Through Season
Northampton
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | <1% | 4.9% | 17.6% |
| If Win | 1.0% | 1.0% | 7.0% | 10.3% |
| If Draw | <1% | <1% | 4.6% | 16.4% |
| If Lose | <1% | <1% | 3.1% | 22.3% |
York City
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 1.3% | 1.3% | 10.1% | 8.7% |
| If Win | 1.6% | 1.6% | 13.4% | 6.5% |
| If Draw | 1.0% | 1.0% | 9.0% | 9.6% |
| If Lose | <1% | <1% | 6.7% | 13.0% |
| York City | Stat | Northampton |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Games played | 7 |
| 1.9 | Avg goals scored | 0.4 |
| 1.4 | Avg goals conceded | 0.9 |
| 43% / 29% / 29% | Win / Draw / Loss | 14% / 43% / 43% |
| 100% | Home win % / Away win % | 0% |
| York City | Stat | Northampton |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | All-time wins (8 meetings, 2 draws) | 3 |
| 1 | Last 5 meetings (1 draws) | 3 |
| 1.0 | Average goals | 1.1 |